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1 Institute of Geosciences, Faculty of
Science
Shizuoka University
Shizuoka 422-8529,
Japan
gjm2001cn{at}yahoo.com
(J.G.,
A.L.)
2 Active Fault Research
Center
Geological Survey of Japan / AIST
Tsukuba 305-8567,
Japan
(T.M.)
3 Key Lab of Gas Geochemistry
CAS,
Lanzhou 730000, China
(J.Z., G.S.)
| Abstract |
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| Introduction |
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Although distinct mole tracks show evidence for a recent earthquake, and accumulated offsets indicate multiple events on the Xidatan–Dongdatan segment (Kidd and Molnar, 1988; Van der Woerd, Tapponier, et al., 2002), the earthquake history of the segment is poorly known.
In this study, we selected the youngest and lowest terrace in the Xidatan–Dongdatan valley as the most favorable site to measure the offset produced by the most recent earthquake. Displaced terrace risers and gullies were measured to constrain the offset produced by the event. Accumulated offsets on higher terraces were also observed. Moreover, paleoseismic studies provide age information on recent earthquakes.
| Activity of the Kunlun Fault |
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Three large historic earthquakes of M
7.5 producing obvious
left-lateral offsets along the Kunlun fault during the last century indicate
that the fault is currently active and is the source for large earthquakes. The
first is the 1937 M 7.5 Tuosuo lake earthquake that ruptured the Tuosuo
lake segment (Li and Jia, 1981;
Liu, 1999). The second is the
1997 Mw 7.6 (Ms 7.9) Manyi earthquake
that produced a 170-km- long surface-rupture zone along the westernmost strand
of the Kunlun fault
(Peltzer et al., 1999).
And the last is the 2001 Mw 7.8 (Ms 8.1)
Kunlun earthquake that produced a 400-km-long surface-rupture zone along the
Kusai lake segment
(Lin et al., 2002,
2003;
Van der Woerd, Meriaux, et al., 2002;
Xu et al., 2002;
Fu and Lin, 2003;
Klinger et al., 2003)
between the 1937 Tuosuo lake and 1997 Manyi surface-rupture zones
(Fig. 1). There is no known
historical earthquake recorded in the Xidatan–Dongdatan segment.
A uniform long-term slip rate of 11.5 ± 2.0 mm/yr was derived from
26A1, 10Be, and 14C dating of accumulated
offsets along the central 600 km of the Kunlun fault
(Van der Woerd et al., 2000;
Van der Woerd, Tapponnier, et al., 2002).
However, although based on a limited number of stations, Chen et al.
(2000) suggested a smaller
GPS slip rate of 6 ± 2 mm/yr across the Kunlun fault. Recent
GPS results gave a 10–12 mm/yr left-lateral shear over a
400-km-wide zone including the Kunlun fault, but Zhang et al.
(2004) argued against the
assignment of this broadly distributed 10– 12 mm/yr shear to elastic
strain associated with slip on the Kunlun fault, because other active faults
within the 400-km- wide deformation zone might accommodate some of the relative
movement.
| The Offset of the Most Recent Earthquake |
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4000 m in northern Tibet. The fault
trace bends away from the southern range front to north in
Xidatan–Dongdatan valley
(Fig. 2). The basement of the
study area consists mainly of pre-Tertiary rocks
(Chengdu Institute of Geology and Mineral Resources, Chinese Academy of Geological Sciences, 1988).
The fault trace is marked by sag-pond and push-up structures on the alluvial
fans fed by north-flowing streams from the snow-capped Burhan Budai Mountain
peak with an elevation of up to
6000 m
(Fig. 2). Glacial and
alluvial processes modulated by climate variability are the primary agents to
affect the landscape formation of the region; stream entrenchment and terrace
emplacement responding to such processes left abandoned terrace risers as
passively preserved topographic markers to record the displacements of past
earthquakes
(Van der Woerd, Tapponnier, et al., 2002).
Gullies on terraces also record the offset of past earthquakes. Mole tracks can be preserved for a long time due to the arid climate in the region. However, after several hundred years, the fresh features of the earthquake will be eroded, and it becomes difficult to distinguish the offset of the most recent earthquake from those of previous earthquakes, when they overlapped each other on higher terraces.
In theory, the terrace abandoned between the penultimate earthquake and the most recent earthquake is the only site to preserve the offset of the most recent earthquake from overlapping with previous earthquakes. Because it is difficult to identify the terrace formed in this period in the field, in practice, we assume the lowest and youngest terrace is the most likely site to record the most recent event. Larger offsets on higher terraces indicate slip produced by repeated events.
We measured offsets along the Xidatan–Dongdatan valley
(Fig. 2b) ranging from 3 m to
50 m with a tape. Well- preserved offsets on the lowest terrace were found
in the central part of the valley
(Fig. 2b). The typical examples
of offset of terrace riser and gully on the surface rupture zone are presented
as follows (Figs. 3,
4, and
5). Ten offsets ranging from 3
m to 6 m were recorded in this area
(Fig. 6). The measurement
uncertainty was estimated to be ±0.5 m.
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At a north-flowing stream, the fault trace is developed on the alluvial fans
and terraces that are sinistrally offset (Figs.
3 and
4). There is a tendency that
the higher the terraces from the streambeds are, the larger the offsets of the
terrace risers are. As shown in Figures
3b and
3c, four main terraces
(T0–T3) developed on the west bank of the stream are systematically
offset. T0 is the lowest and youngest terrace, about 0.5 m higher than the
present streambed; T1 is
4 m above T0; T2 is
1.5 m above T1; and T3 is
the highest level. The principal terrace risers of T0/T1 and T1/ T2 are
displaced by 4.8 ± 0.5 m and 18.5 ± 2 m, respectively (Figs.
4b and
4c).
The terrace riser on the active streambed is constantly refreshed by flood and glacier; only after the incision of the stream does the terrace riser on the lowest terrace begin to record lateral displacement of the fault as a passive marker (Van der Woerd, Tapponnier, et al., 2002). Comparing with strike-slip offsets by the other recent large earthquakes (Reilinger et al., 2000; Eberhart-Phillips et al., 2003), we assume that the T0/T1 riser with 4.8 ± 0.5 m offset only recorded the most recent earthquake after the abandonment of terrace T0. If more than one earthquake was recorded on the T0/T1 riser, the offset of the most recent earthquake would be much smaller than 4.8 m at this site. Mole tracks produced by the most recent event are not clear on the T0 terrace. One possible reason is that sometimes floods reached to the T0 surface and wore down the fault trace due to the narrow and shallow active streambed. The well-preserved deformational features of the surface rupture on the T0/T1 riser indicate that after the last faulting event floods have had little effect on the terrace riser, because it is a little far from the active streambed. Therefore, T0/T1 acts as a passive marker to record the displacement of the most recent earthquake. The T1/ T2 riser with 18.5 m offset would record several large earthquakes after the abandonment of the T1.
On a north-sloping youngest terrace surface a small gully is offset 3.4 ± 0.5 m (Figs. 2b and 5). Here, distinct mole tracks such as those observed along the coseismic surface-rupture zone produced by the 2001 Mw 7.8 Kunlun earthquake (Lin et al., 2004) indicate a recent event occurred on the surface. Thus, the low and narrow deformation zone on the surface makes us consider that only one earthquake occurred after the abandonment of this terrace.
The offset of 3–6 m measured in this study is much smaller than that of 10 m reported by Kidd and Molnar (1988) and 9–12 m reported by Van der Woerd et al. (1998, 2000; Van der Woerd, Tapponier, et al., 2002) in the same area. Kidd and Molnar (1988) published two photos to show that gullies were offset about 10 m. However, high and wide mole tracks suggest that more than one earthquake occurred at these sites. Van der Woerd et al. (1998, 2000; Van der Woerd, Tapponier, et al., 2002) provided only remote- sensing images and a photo to show accumulated offsets on the Xidatan–Dongdatan segment. So the likely explanation for the difference between these measurements is that in this work we measured the offset on different terraces with the possibility of distinguishing the slip produced by the most recent event and that cumulated by more events, whereas in the other works it was measured only by the cumulative slip.
Linear and generally continuous features revealed in satellite images and air photos, and distinct surface breaks observed in the field, indicate that a surface faulting event occurred along the Xidatan–Dongdatan segment at a recent time. From longitude 93.6° E to 95° E, a 125-km-long surface rupture was followed on satellite images, and more than half of it was observed directly in the field. The fault trace becomes discontinuous when the fault extends eastward from the Xidatan–Dongdatan valley to Xiugou valley. Due to erosion and uncertainty of rupture terminations, we can assume that the most recent large earthquake produced a 150 ± 20-km-long surface rupture.
| Paleoseismicity |
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In order to better constrain the timing of past earthquakes, we carried out a paleoseismic study by trench excavation and outcrop observation in the field. 14C dating of four silt samples that include grass roots and other organic matter were collected for constraining the depositional and earthquake history (results are shown in Table 2).
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Trench Excavation
The trench site was selected on an abandoned alluvial fan (Figs.
2b and
7). At this location, the
surface-rupture zone is characterized by a series of sag-pond and push-up
structures on the fan
(Fig. 7b). The 6.5-m-long
hand-dug trench exposed the main fault zone in its central northern part
(Fig. 8), but it was too short
to expose the whole fault zone.
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Deposits exposed on the trench wall consist mainly of unconsolidated slope-wash sediment, wind-blown sediment, and alluvial sediment, which can be divided into three main stratigraphical units (Fig. 8, from top to bottom). Unit 1 consists of brownish gravels with a silt–sand matrix yielding calibrated 14C age of 551–663 yr B.P. (030828-C06) at the top (Fig. 8; Table 2). Material composing the unit was mainly transported from the upper slope of the fan surface by rain, some silt might be deposited by wind, and gravels are reworked from the top of the pressure ridge. Unit 2 consists of light-gray silt that is discontinuously distributed in the exposure wall and bounded by faults. Two samples collected from both top and bottom of this unit yielded calibrated 14C age of 1952–2307 yr B.P. (030828-C04) and 3355–3548 yr B.P. (030828-C03; Fig. 8; Table 2), respectively. Unit 3 is mainly composed of light-blue boulder- to pebble-size alluvial gravels with a coarse-grained sandy matrix. Loose and strongly sheared gravels in a main fault zone suggests that repeated events have occurred.
Eight main faults (F1–F8) can be recognized by discontinuities and deformational structures in the deposits of the trench (Fig. 8b). Faults F3 and F5 bound a prominent pressure ridge. F1, F2, F7, F8, and a branch of F3 do not reach to the surface. Some fractures filled by upper deposits are observed in the silt layer to the south of the main fault zone (Fig. 8).
Outcrop Exposures
An exposure of a stream bank (outcrop A) located 11 km west of the
trench shows a distinct push-up structure (Figs.
3a and
9). The deposits are mainly
composed of alluvial gravels that are covered in the southern part by a 30-
cm-thick silt layer. The silt layer is cut and sheared by the fault. Along the
fault planes, the gravels are dragged and reoriented parallel or subparallel to
the fault plane, which dips south with a steep angle of >66°. A silt
sample (030827-C01) collected from the bottom of the silt layer yields a
calibrated 14C age of 564–726 yr B.P.
(Table 2).
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Another outcrop (outcrop B) was observed in the remnant of an abandoned terrace located 2.2 km east of the trench (Fig. 7). Similarly to outcrop A, also here the fault shows an apparent vertical component and reaches the surface (Fig. 7c).
Paleoseismic Events
Past earthquakes are generally identified in trenches and natural exposures
by the fault upward terminations and disturbed deposits capped by continuous
beds
(Yeats et al., 1997).
On the basis of the relationships observed in the trench, we recognized evidence
for at least three paleoseismic events.
The most recent event (MRE in Fig. 8) is identified both in the trench and outcrops. In the trench, F3–F5 cutting all deposits in the uplifted main fault zone indicate that the most recent event occurred along them. Sample 030828-C06 collected near the top of the deposits shows that the maximum age of the event is cal. 663 yr B.P. All layers are disturbed by the fault in outcrop A, and the sample 030827-C01 obtained from the upper layer also gives a consistent maximum age of cal. 726 yr B.P. for the recent earthquake. Therefore, we can infer that the most recent event along the segment occurred in the past 663 yr. The termination of a branch of F3 within unit 1 is identified as evidence for the penultimate event (PEN in Fig. 8). A third event (3rd in Fig. 8) is recognized because F5–F8, F1, and F2 offset the silt and gravel layers, and fractures developed in the correlative silt layer on the south side of the main fault zone. Sample 030828- C04 provides a maximum age of cal. 2307 yr B.P. for this event.
One more possible event (4th in Fig. 8) is inferred because of the deformation of the gravel layer of unit 3 under the silt layer of unit 2. The earthquake disturbed gravels, when they were at the ground surface, and then wind-blown silt deposited on them. Sample 030828-C03 gives a minimum age of cal. 3355 yr B.P. for this possible event.
| Discussion and Conclusions |
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7 m
(Washburn et al., 2001).
Therefore, we can consider that 3–6 m offset measured in this study was
generated by the most recent large earthquake along the Xidatan–Dongdatan
segment. Larger offsets observed on higher terraces are evidence for repeated
surface faulting events on the fault. According to the moment magnitude law, if we assume a uniform slip distribution over a depth of 15 km and an elastic shear modulus of 3.0 x 1010 N/m2, a 150-km-long rupture with an average slip of 4.5 m earthquake corresponds to an Mw 7.6 earthquake, which is consistent with other historical large events of the Kunlun fault (M 7.5–M 7.8).
Paleoseismic investigation in this study shows that the deposits with ages of cal. 551–663 yr B.P. are sheared and offset during the most recent earthquake. Combining this result with the minimum age of unfaulted features of 280 ± 89 yr B.P. suggested by Van der Woerd, Tapponnier, et al. (2002), we conclude that the most recent earthquake occurred between 191 B.P. and 663 B.P.
Although three paleoseismic events are identified, we only get the maximum
age for the events due to a limited number of samples that may have been
reworked by wind and water. Moreover, because of the type of sediments exposed,
which are characterized by intermittent deposition and erosional events, we may
have missed some events in the paleoseismological reconstruction; thus, it is
hard to estimate a recurrence interval along the Xidatan–Dongdatan segment
from this study and previous ones. However, based on an average slip of
4.5
m per event from this study and published slip rates, a firsthand average
recurrence interval on the segment can be calculated. Using the slip rate of
11.7 ± 1.5 mm/yr determined by dating accumulated offsets of Quaternary
landforms
(Van der Woerd, Tapponnier, et al., 2002)
yields a recurrence time of 380 ± 50 yr, whereas using the slip rate of 6
± 2 mm/yr determined from GPS
(Chen et al., 2000)
yields a recurrence time of 750 ± 300 yr. Given the uncertainty of the
recurrence interval along the Xidatan–Dongdatan segment and the wide
interval of the MRE age, it is difficult to estimate the present
seismic potential of this fault segment within the next decades. However, it
should also be taken in account that the 2001 Mw 7.8
earthquake increased Coulomb stress on the Xidatan– Dongdatan segment (Wan
et al., 2003), and this poses potential seismic hazards to important
infrastructures, such as the Golmud–Lhasa railway, highway, and oil
pipeline, which cross the Kusai lake and Xidatan–Dongdatan segments near
the Kunlun Pass, and have been damaged by the 2001 Mw 7.8
earthquake on the Kusai lake segment
(Fig. 2;
China Seismological Bureau, 2003).
In summary, this study provides a possible average slip and magnitude for the future large earthquake on the Xidatan–Dongdatan segment of 3–6 m and Mw 7.6, respectively. This should be taken in consideration for seismic- hazard evaluation on existing and future infrastructures in the area, as highlighted by the successful design of the Trans-Alaska Pipeline, which withstood the 2002 Mw 7.9 Denali fault earthquake, demonstrating the value of geological studies in earthquake-risk mitigation (Eberhart-Phillips et al., 2003).
| Appendix |
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Manuscript received August 25, 2004
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