Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America; February 2006; v. 96; no. 1;
p. 11-32; DOI: 10.1785/0120040166
© Seismological Society of America
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Figure 9. Plot of cumulative seismic-moment release with time over the study region,
based on preferred moment estimates for each earthquake. Lines show possible
release rates: r1 gives an average rate since 1857 (7.64
x 1025 dyne cm/yr); r2 gives an average
rate since 1871 (8.52 x 1025 dyne cm/yr);
r3 gives the slip-predictable bound (6.15 x
1025 dyne cm/yr); and r4 gives the
time-predictable bound (8.84 x 1025 dyne cm/yr). The time- and
slip-predictable models of moment release usually apply to a single fault, and
extending the concepts to a region with multiple faults does not have the
physical relationship to stress and friction as in the model by
Shimazaki and Nakata (1980).
