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Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America; February 2006; v. 96; no. 1; p. 321-327; DOI: 10.1785/0120050069
© 2006 Seismological Society of America
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Short Note

Seismic Quiescence before the 1999 Chi-Chi, Taiwan, Mw 7.6 Earthquake

Yih-Min Wu1 and Ling-Yun Chiao2

1 Department of Geosciences
National Taiwan University
No. 1, Sec. 4, Roosevelt Road
Taipei 106, Taiwan
drymwu{at}ntu.edu.tw
 (Y.-M.W.)

2 Institute of Oceanography
National Taiwan University
Taipei, Taiwan
 (L.-Y.C.)

The Chi-Chi, Taiwan, earthquake of 20 September 1999 was preceded by a notable decrease of the regional seismicity rate. The anomalous period started in January 1999 and lasted about 9 months, up to the occurrence of the mainshock, as revealed from analyzing the Taiwan catalog data from 1 January 1994 to 20 September 1999. Our results indicate that the mean seismicity rate is 435 events per month with a standard deviation of 78 events for earthquakes with magnitude above 2.0. During the anomalous period, seismicity rates fell outside the range of one standard deviation with a mean value of 314 events per month. There was also a consistent trend of decreasing regional b-value as well as notable increases of seismic activity in areas surrounding the Chi-Chi earthquake source region via the Z-test map (ZMAP) analysis.




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