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The Minimalist Model of Characteristic Earthquakes as a Useful Tool for Description of the Recurrence of Large Earthquakes

Departamento de Ciencias de la Tierra
Universidad de Zaragoza
Pedro Cerbuna 12
50009 Zaragoza, Spain
(J.B.G.)
Departamento de Física Teórica and BIFI
Universidad de Zaragoza
Pedro Cerbuna 12
50009 Zaragoza, Spain
(A.F.P.)

Manuscript received 20 November 2003.

Renewal models are usually applied to seismic regions where large earthquakes occur repeatedly at approximately regular time intervals. In most cases, these models lack a seismological basis and are just well known statistical distributions rooted in reliability theory. Here, we show the good properties of the recently introduced minimalist model of characteristic earthquakes to describe the recurrence of these large earthquakes. Several examples in Japan, Italy, and the United States are shown.

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