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Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory
Palisades, New York 10964
A persistent earthquake sequence in northeast Ohio includes many distinct
fore-main-aftershock subsequences, illuminates two faults, and was triggered
by fluid injection. The first known earthquake from within 30 km of Ashtabula
was an Mblg 3.8 mainshock that shook the downtown area in
1987. Seismicity has continued at an average of about one felt event per year.
The largest magnitude so far, Mblg 4.3, caused slight
damage (modified Mercalli intensity VI) on 26 January 2001. The latest
subsequence started in July 2003 with an Mblg 2.6 event.
Accurate hypocenters and focal mechanisms are available from three local
seismograph deployments in 1987, 2001, 2003 and from regional broadband
seismograms. These hypocenters are in the Precambrian basement, 0-2 km below
the 1.8-km-deep Paleozoic unconformity, and illuminate two distinct planar
east-west-striking sources zones 4 km apart, one in 1987 about 1.5 km long,
the other in 2001 and 2003 about 5 km long. We interpret them as steep
subparallel faults slipping left laterally in the current regime. Like many of
the faults that ruptured in hazardous stable continental region (SCR)
earthquakes, these faults were previously unknown and probably have small
post-Precambrian displacements. The 1987 source was active a year after onset
of class 1 fluid injection only 0.7 km north of the fault. The second fault, 5
km south of the injection well, became active in 2000, while the 1987 source
was inactive. The well injected about 164 m3/day of waste fluid
into the 1.8-km-deep basal sandstone with about 100 bars of wellhead pressure
from May 1986 to June 1994. An annular high pore-pressure anomaly is expected
to expand along this hydraulically confined horizon at the top of the
basement, even after injection ends and pressure drops near the well. Over 16
years, seismicity has shifted southward from
1 to 5-8 km from the point of
injection. It seems to initiate when and where a significant pore-pressure
rise intersects pre-existing faults close to failure and to be turned off when
pressure starts dropping back. The largest earthquakes postdated the end of
injection at both Ashtabula and at the Rocky Mountain Arsenal near Denver,
Colorado. Anthropogenic earthquake hazard may thus persist after the causative
activity has ceased but can generally be closely monitored. High-stress and
low-strain rates in SCRs can account for a larger proportion of triggered
earthquakes in the eastern United States and other SCRs than in active
regions.
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