| HOME | HELP | FEEDBACK | SUBSCRIPTIONS | ARCHIVE | SEARCH | TABLE OF CONTENTS |
|
|
|
|||||||
|
|||||||||
6.5)
Woodward-Clyde Federal Services, 566 El Dorado Street, Suite 100, Pasadena, California 91101
Abstract
We simulated broadband hard-rock ground-motion time histories for the Saint Louis, Missouri, metropolitan area due to three large earthquakes (6.5 
Mw 7.5), each occurring on the largest fault segment of the New Madrid fault zone at a distance of about 200 km. A deterministic procedure was implemented to simulate ground motion for frequencies less than 1 Hz for which the propagation effects were calculated using full-wave theory. For signals above 1 Hz, a semi-empirical simulation approach was used. The fault dimensions were defined in conformity with a constant stress-drop model developed for eastern North America; the fault width was constrained to a maximum depth of 16 km following the occurrence of the natural seismicity. For each event, we simulated broadband time histories for ten randomly generated slip models at eight sites distributed in various locations in the city of Saint Louis. This study shows that the level of peak ground motions at hard-rock sites in Saint Louis is small; the largest average peak horizontal ground-motion acceleration simulated is only 26.45 cm/sec2 (1.96 cm/sec for the velocity) even for the largest event. To validate the simulation results, we examined regional accelerograms and their peak values and response spectra recorded during the 25 November 1988 Saguenay earthquake (Mw = 5.8) at distances further than 230 km from its epicenter to be consistent with the distance of the city of Saint Louis from the New Madrid earthquake zone. The Saguenay earthquake observations seem consistent with simulation values obtained for the Mw = 6.5 New Madrid earthquake. A preliminary equivalent linear analysis by applying these simulated motions at the base of a soil profile suggests that the level of ground motions is too weak to produce damaging effects in Saint Louis even for the largest event on the longest segment.
This article has been cited by other articles:
|
|
 |
|
  G. P. Mavroeidis, B. Zhang, G. Dong, A. S. Papageorgiou, U. Dutta, and N. N. Biswas Estimation of Strong Ground Motion from the Great 1964 Mw 9.2 Prince William Sound, Alaska, Earthquake Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, October 1, 2008; 98(5): 2303 - 2324. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]
|
|
|
|
|
|
C. K. Saikia, A. Pitarka, and G. A. Ichinose Effects of Irregular Structure of the Mississippi Embayment on Ground-Motion Amplification Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, August 1, 2006; 96(4A): 1448 - 1473. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]
|
|
|
|
|
|
S. Hartzell, M. Guatteri, P. M. Mai, P.-C. Liu, and M. Fisk Calculation of Broadband Time Histories of Ground Motion, Part II: Kinematic and Dynamic Modeling Using Theoretical Green's Functions and Comparison with the 1994 Northridge Earthquake Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, April 1, 2005; 95(2): 614 - 645. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]
|
|
|
|
|
|
Strong Ground-Motion Prediction from Stochastic-Dynamic Source Models Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, February 1, 2003; 93(1): 301 - 313.
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ground Motions at Memphis and St. Louis from M 7.5-8.0 Earthquakes in the New Madrid Seismic Zone Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, April 1, 2002; 92(3): 1015 - 1024.
|
|
|
|
|
|
J. G. Anderson Expected Shape of Regressions for Ground-Motion Parameters on Rock Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, December 1, 2000; 90(6B): S43 - S52. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]
|
|
| HOME | HELP | FEEDBACK | SUBSCRIPTIONS | ARCHIVE | SEARCH | TABLE OF CONTENTS |
