HOME HELP FEEDBACK SUBSCRIPTIONS ARCHIVE SEARCH TABLE OF CONTENTS		QUICK SEARCH:   [advanced] Author: Keyword(s): Year:  Vol:  Page:

This Article Full Text (PDF) References Citation Map Services Email this article to a friend Similar articles in this journal Alert me to new issues of the journal Download to citation manager Citing Articles Citing Articles via HighWire Citing Articles via Google Scholar Google Scholar Articles by Pisarenko, V. F. Articles by Golubeva, T. V. Search for Related Content GeoRef GeoRef Citation

Statistical estimation of seismic hazard parameters: Maximum possible magnitude and related parameters

Joint Institute of the Physics of the Earth Russian Academy of Sciences, Bolshaya Gruzinskaya 10, 123242 Moscow, Russia
International Institute of Earthquake Prediction Theory and Mathematical GeophysicsRussian Academy of Sciences, Warshavskoe shosse 79, korp. 2, 113556 Moscow, Russia

Abstract

The problem of statistical estimation of earthquake hazard parameters is considered. The emphasis is on estimation of the maximum regional magnitude, M_max, and the maximum magnitude, M_max(T), in a future time interval T and quantiles of its distribution. Two estimators are suggested: an unbiased estimator with the lowest possible variance and a Bayesian estimator. As an illustration, these methods are applied for the estimation of M_max and related parameters in California and Italy.

This article has been cited by other articles:

				G. Grandori, E. Guagenti, and L. Petrini Statistical Grounds for Favoring the Characteristic Magnitude Model: A Case Study Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, October 1, 2008; 98(5): 2161 - 2169. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]

				Quantifying Sensitivities of PSHA for France to Earthquake Catalog Uncertainties, Truncation of Ground-Motion Variability, and Magnitude Limits Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, October 1, 2004; 94(5): 1579 - 1594.

				G. Molchan, T. Kronrod, and G. F. Panza Multi-scale seismicity model for seismic risk Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, October 1, 1997; 87(5): 1220 - 1229. [Abstract] [PDF]