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Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America; August 1989; v. 79; no. 4; p. 973-988
© 1989 Seismological Society of America
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A statistical analysis of seismicity in Italy: The clustering properties

PAOLO GASPERINI and FRANCESCO MULARGIA

ISTITUTO NAZIONALE DI GEOFISICA, VIALE BERTI PICHAT, 8, 40127 BOLOGNA, Italy
DIPARTIMENTO DI FISICA SETTORE DI GEOFISICA UNIVERSITÀ DI BOLOGNA, VIALE BERTI PICHAT 8, 40127 BOLOGNA, Italy

Abstract

The clustering properties of Italian seismicity are analyzed statistically on the basis of the Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica seismic catalog. The traditional generalized Poisson model is found to be inefficient for a quantitative analysis. Based on the influence region, a new model is developed that allows to assess some spatial features of clustering as well. The results are the following: (1) there is no evidence of migration; (2) clustering is mostly originated by main shock-aftershock sequences; (3) cluster parameters are function of the region studied; (4) several different parameterizations are possible; and (5) the best fit is provided by an influence region of respectively 14 days to 60 days and 80 to 140 km.




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R. CONSOLE, M. MURRU, and B. ALESSANDRINI
Foreshock statistics and their possible relationship to earthquake prediction in the Italian region
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, August 1, 1993; 83(4): 1248 - 1263.
[Abstract] [PDF]




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