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Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America; February 1984; v. 74; no. 1; p. 255-265
© 1984 Seismological Society of America
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Earthquake frequency and prediction

ZHENG-RONG LIU

SEISMOLOGICAL BUREAU OF YUNNAN PROVINCE, KUNMING, Peoples Republic of China

Abstract

The coefficient p in n(t) = n1t–p, where n(t) is the daily count of earthquakes and n1 is the number of earthquakes on the first day following a larger earthquake, is less double equals1 for foreshock sequences, {gtrsim}1 for double-main shock sequences, and »1 for aftershock sequences with a single largest earthquake. For p »1, the magnitude of the largest aftershock and the cutoff time of the aftershocks can be estimated. These observations are the basis for an earthquake prediction technique successfully used in the Peoples Republic of China (PRC).




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