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BERNARD PRICE INSTITUTE OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH UNIVERSITY OF THE WITWATERSRAND, JOHANNESBURG, South Africa
Abstract
Foreshock-aftershock sequences of two mine tremors, of magnitudes 1.5 and 1.2 were studied using a highly-sensitive seismic array and a tiltmeter in the source regions of the tremors. The tremors occurred at a depth of about 3.2 km in a deep gold mine adjacent to the array of six geophones and within 120 m of the tiltmeter. The seismic coverage of the sequences was complete down to magnitudes of 3.5; the tilt resolution ranged from 6 x 108 radians to 6 x 107 radians at the times of the sequences. In the first hour after each event 135 to 140 micro-aftershocks were recorded with a rate of occurrence that is generally proportional to the rate of tilt, diminishing with time, t, after the mainshock according to
, where A and k are constants.
A careful study of the records of microtremors and tilt before the main stocks revealed no indications of impending failure. Before the tremor of M = 1.5 the seismicity was at its normal ambient level of about 4 events per hour. Although the seismicity was unusually high before the event of M = 1.2 at about 30 events per hour, there was no aspect of this microshock activity suggesting that a larger tremor would follow. Similarly, analysis of the tilt records failed to produce any evidence of an instability developing before either of the tremors.
The magnitude distributions, described by Log N = a b M, for the microshocks (3.5
M <O) are consistent with those reported previously for shocks with M
O. Previous results indicating that b is stable to changes in the aseismic strain rate,
{dot}, and that a = log
{dot} + K, were extended to much higher strain rates in this study.
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